iGR | U.S. IBW Forecast

U.S. IBW Forecast, 2021 – 2026: Spending in Commercial Buildings and Manufacturing Facilities

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Indoor small cells and in-building wireless (IBW) systems are deployed in commercial buildings and manufacturing facilities to provide a secure network and improve the experience of employees and guests indoors. They are also used to support industry-specific use cases, such as online concessions in smart stadiums and ultra-reliable and low latency automated applications on the factory floor.

IBW systems use many types of indoor small cells, including distributed antenna systems (DAS), DAS Lite, picocells or enterprise small cells, femtocells and cellular signal boosters. Wi-Fi is not included in this forecast.

This market study provides a newly revised five-year forecast for spending for in-building wireless systems in U.S. commercial buildings and manufacturing buildings. This current revision is based on the following assumptions and information:

iGR believes that while the direct impact of the COVID-19 pandemic has dissipated, the outlook for the cellular IBW market will continue feeling its indirect effects both in terms of the broader economic outlook (e.g., inflation, recession potential) as well as trends that are unique to the different categories of commercial buildings (e.g., hotels versus warehouses). In short, cellular IBW trends pre-2020 have become irrelevant while post-2020 trends are now clearer (e.g., work-from-home).

iGR also updated its IBW forecast based on newly available data (late 2021) from the 2018 Commercial Buildings Energy Consumption Survey (CBECS) the date from which became available in late 2021.

Information gathered from conversations with multiple solution providers in the IBW market during 2021 and the first quarter of 2022.

Included in the market study is a five-year forecast for both network build spending and operational spending for the deployment of cellular IBW in U.S. commercial and manufacturing buildings in the Sub 6 GHz (non CBRS bands), the CBRS band, and mmWave bands.

Note that this market study provides separate spending amounts for commercial buildings and manufacturing buildings, but it does not provide spending breakouts by types of commercial buildings, such as retail, healthcare, stadiums, and transportation buildings, nor does it provide spending breakouts by types of manufacturing facilities. This detailed spending can be found in our series of building-specific Private Wireless Networks market studies that will be published the second and third quarters of 2022.

Key Questions Answered

How much will be spent to build and operate sub 6 GHz, CBRS and mmWave IBW systems in U.S. commercial buildings from 2021 to 2026?
How much will be spent to build and operate sub 6 GHz, CBRS and mmWave IBW systems in U.S. manufacturing buildings from 2021 to 2026?
Which technologies and mobile industry trends are impacting the deployment of IBW systems?
What are the different types of indoor small cells included in iGR’s forecast?
What are the key benefits of using in-building wireless systems and indoor small cells?
What are some of the perceived negatives and issues related to indoor small cell deployments?

Who Should Read

Mobile operators
Infrastructure OEMs
Small cell product and solution vendors
Backhaul service providers and equipment OEMs
Financial analysts and investors.

Abstract
Executive Summary

Total Spending for Commercial and Manufacturing Buildings
What This Means

Methodology

Sources
2022 Revised Forecast
Definitions

In-building Wireless and the Technologies and Spectrum to Support It

Different Types of Indoor Small Cells
Different Types of Haul
5G
Wireless Spectrum
Mobile Industry Technology Trends

Pros and Cons of In-building Wireless

Benefits of Deploying In-Building Small Cells and IBW
Cons of Deploying In-Building Small Cells

RAN Densification and Outdoor Small Cells

Network “Pain Points”

Basic Assumptions Regarding In-Building Wireless

A Word about Wi-Fi
Other Key trends

Cellular IBW Spending Forecast Methodology and Assumptions

Basic Assumption
Buildings Methodology
Assumptions
Network Build Spending Methodology – Commercial and Manufacturing
Operational Spending Methodology – Commercial and Manufacturing

Cellular IBW Spending Forecast – Commercial Buildings

Sub 6 GHz
CBRS
mmWave
Total Spending for Commercial Buildings

Cellular IBW Spending Forecast – Manufacturing Buildings

Sub 6 GHz
CBRS
mmWave
Total Spending for Manufacturing Buildings

Definitions
About iGR

Disclaimer

List of Tables

Table A: Total Spending in Commercial Buildings by Spectrum, 2021-2026
Table B: Total Spending in Manufacturing Buildings by Spectrum, 2021-2026
Table 1: Commercial Buildings in the U.S.
Table 2: Sub 6 GHz Network Build Spending in Commercial Buildings, 2021-2026
Table 3: Sub 6 GHz Operational Spending in Commercial Buildings, 2021-2026
Table 4: Total Sub 6 GHz Spending for Commercial Buildings, 2021-2026
Table 5: CBRS Network Build Spending in Commercial Buildings, 2021-2026
Table 6: CBRS Operational Spending in Commercial Buildings, 2021-2026
Table 7: Total CBRS Spending for Commercial Buildings, 2021-2026
Table 8: mmWave Network Build Spending in Commercial Buildings, 2021-2026
Table 9: mmWave Operational Spending in Commercial Buildings, 2021-2026
Table 10: Total mmWave Spending for Commercial Buildings, 2021-2026
Table 11: Total Spending in Commercial Buildings by Spectrum, 2021-2026
Table 12: Sub 6 GHz Network Build Spending in Manufacturing Buildings, 2021-2026
Table 13: Sub 6 GHz Operational Spending in Manufacturing Buildings, 2021-2026
Table 14: Total Sub 6 GHz Spending in Manufacturing Buildings, 2021-2026
Table 15: CBRS Network Build Spending in Manufacturing Buildings, 2021-2026
Table 16: CBRS Operational Spending in Manufacturing Buildings, 2021-2026
Table 17: Total CBRS Spending in Manufacturing Buildings, 2021-2026
Table 18: mmWave Network Build Spending in Manufacturing Buildings, 2021-2026
Table 19: mmWave Operational Spending in Manufacturing Buildings, 2021-2026
Table 20: Total mmWave Spending in Manufacturing Buildings, 2021-2026
Table 21: Total Spending in Manufacturing Buildings by Spectrum, 2021-2026
Definitions Table

List of Charts and Figures

Figure A: Total Spending in Commercial Buildings by Spectrum, 2021-2026
Figure B: Total Spending in Manufacturing Buildings by Spectrum, 2021-2026
Figure 1: Cell Site Backhaul Capabilities and Use Cases, Wired and Wireless
Figure 2: Sub 6 GHz Network Build Spending in Commercial Buildings, 2021-2026
Figure 3: Sub 6 GHz Operational Spending in Commercial Buildings, 2021-2026
Figure 4: Total Sub 6 GHz Spending for Commercial Buildings, 2021-2026
Figure 5: CBRS Network Build Spending in Commercial Buildings, 2021-2026
Figure 6: CBRS Operational Spending in Commercial Buildings, 2021-2026
Figure 7: Total CBRS Spending for Commercial Buildings, 2021-2026
Figure 8: mmWave Network Build Spending in Commercial Buildings, 2021-2026
Figure 9: mmWave Operational Spending in Commercial Buildings, 2021-2026
Figure 10: Total mmWave Spending for Commercial Buildings, 2021-2026
Figure 11: Total Spending in Commercial Buildings by Spectrum, 2021-2026
Figure 12: Total Spending in Commercial Buildings, 2021-2026
Figure 13: Sub 6 GHz Network Build Spending in Manufacturing Buildings, 2021-2026
Figure 14: Sub 6 GHz Operational Spending in Manufacturing Buildings, 2021-2026
Figure 15: Total Sub 6 GHz Spending in Manufacturing Buildings, 2021-2026
Figure 16: CBRS Network Build Spending in Manufacturing Buildings, 2021-2026
Figure 17: CBRS Operational Spending in Manufacturing Buildings, 2021-2026
Figure 18: Total CBRS Spending in Manufacturing Buildings, 2021-2026
Figure 19: mmWave Network Build Spending in Manufacturing Buildings, 2021-2026
Figure 20: mmWave Operational Spending in Manufacturing Buildings, 2021-2026
Figure 21: Total mmWave Spending in Manufacturing Buildings, 2021-2026
Figure 22: Total Spending in Manufacturing Buildings by Spectrum, 2021-2026
Figure 23: Total Spending in Manufacturing Buildings, 2021-2026

For additional information on the U.S. IBW Forecast, 2021 – 2026 market study, please contact Iain Gillott, at (512) 796-1675 or by email.

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