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Wireless & Mobile Landscape

U.S. 3.5 GHz CBRS Forecast, 2018-2023: The shared spectrum solution is finally here

CBRS is finally here. Since the FCC established the Citizens Broadband Radio Service for shared wireless broadband use of the 3550-3700 MHz band (commonly called the 3.5 GHz Band) back in 2015, countless companies have spent years developing and testing hardware and software solutions to provide new services on the shared spectrum.

On September 16th, 2019, the FCC ordered that the first Initial Commercial Deployments (ICDs) of CBRS services could begin. After an initial 30-day test period and subsequent review, the industry will finally have general availability of CBRS services.

This market study provides an updated five-year forecast for the number of CBRS nodes to be deployed in the U.S. The nodes forecast is further split by type/location: outdoor WISP, outdoor mobile, indoor commercial and indoor residential. Two five-year total addressable market forecasts for outdoor small cells and CBRS in commercial buildings by industry are also provided. The market study also provides an explanation of how the CBRS licensing scheme works, discusses how the technology elements of the new band work, identifies the likely use cases of CBRS, and summarizes the recent developments from the major players in the CBRS ecosystem.


Key Questions Answered

  • What is CBRS?
  • What are the different license types of CBRS and how does the licensing scheme work?
  • Who are the likely adopters of CBRS?
  • What is the current state of the CBRS market? What hardware and software solutions are available?
  • What is the total addressable market for outdoor small cells? How many nodes will be required outdoors?
  • What is the total addressable market for CBRS in commercial buildings, by industry? How many nodes will be required, by industry?
  • How many CBRS nodes of the following categories – outdoor WISP, outdoor mobile, indoor commercial, and indoor residential – are expected to be deployed in the U.S. between 2018 and 2023?

Who Should Read

  • Mobile operators, particularly those servicing the U.S. market
  • Mobile backhaul providers, including telcos and cable MSOs
  • Wired and wireless backhaul vendors and solution providers
  • Mobile OEMs, particularly those servicing the U.S. market
  • Wired and wireless infrastructure vendors, particularly those servicing the U.S. market
  • Financial and investment analysts.

Table of Contents

  • Abstract
  • Executive Summary
    • What is CBRS?
    • CBRS Use Cases
    • Installed CBRS Nodes Forecast
    • What this Means
  • Methodology
  • Citizens Broadband Radio Service (CBRS)
    • Overview
    • CBRS Band
    • Incumbent Access (IA) Users
    • Licensing Rules
    • Priority Access Licenses (PALs)
    • General Authorized Access
    • CBRS Access Considerations
  • CBRS Organizations
    • WinnForum
    • CBRS Alliance
  • CBRS Components
    • Environmental Sensing Capability (ESC)
      • Who are the ESC Providers?
    • Spectrum Access System (SAS)
      • More about the SAS
      • Who are the SAS Administrators?
    • CBRS Devices
      • Who is Providing CBRS Devices?
    • End User Devices
  • Current Deployment Timeline
  • Recent CBRS Activity
    • Industry-wide Progress
    • Tests and Trials
  • Potential CBRS Business Models
    • Potential Use Cases
    • Impact of In-building CBRS Signal Penetration
  • CBRS U.S. Market Forecast
    • U.S. Commercial Building CBRS TAM
    • U.S. Outdoor Small Cell TAM
    • Modeling Actual CBRS Deployments
    • Outdoor Deployments - WISPs
    • Outdoor Deployments - Mobile
    • Indoor Deployment - Commercial
    • Indoor Deployment - Residential
    • Summary
  • CBRS Vendor Profiles
    • Airspan Networks
    • American Tower
    • AT&T
    • Baicells
    • Boingo
    • CableLabs
    • Charter Communications
    • Comcast Corporation
    • CommScope
    • Corning SpiderCloud Wireless
    • Crown Castle
    • Ericsson
    • ExteNet Systems
    • Federated Wireless
    • Google / Alphabet
    • ip.access
    • Mavenir
    • Nokia Networks
    • Qualcomm
    • Rise Broadband
    • Samsung Electronics
    • Sercomm
    • Sprint
    • T-Mobile US
    • Telrad Networks
    • US Cellular
    • Verizon
  • Definitions
  • About iGR
    • Disclaimer

List of Tables

  • Table A: Total CBRS Nodes Deployed in the U.S., 2018-2023
  • Table 1: CBSD Categories
  • Table 2: OnGo Certified Devices
  • Table 3: Available End User Devices that support 3.5 GHz / Band 48
  • Table 4: U.S. CBRS Node TAM for Commercial Buildings by Vertical, 2018-2023
  • Table 5: Outdoor Small Cells Total Addressable Market, 2018-2023
  • Table 6: Outdoor CBRS Nodes Deployed by WISPs, 2018-2023
  • Table 7: Outdoor Mobile CBRS Nodes, 2018-2023
  • Table 8: Indoor CBRS Nodes in Commercial Buildings, 2018-2023
  • Table 9: Indoor Residential CBRS Nodes, 2018-2023
  • Table 10: Total CBRS Nodes Deployed by Type, 2018-2023
  • Table 11: Total CBRS Nodes Deployed by Type, 2018-2023 (percent)

List of Charts and figures

  • Figure A: Total CBRS Nodes Deployed in the U.S., 2018-2023
  • Figure 1: Overview of CBRS Band
  • Figure 2: U.S. Counties
  • Figure 3: Interaction of ESC and SAS
  • Figure 4: SAS Interaction
  • Figure 5: In-building Penetration at Different Frequencies
  • Figure 6: U.S. CBRS Node TAM for Commercial Buildings by Vertical, 2018-2023
  • Figure 7: Outdoor Small Cells Total Addressable Market, 2018-2023
  • Figure 8: Outdoor CBRS Nodes Deployed by WISPs, 2018-2023
  • Figure 9: Outdoor Mobile CBRS Nodes, 2018-2023
  • Figure 10: Indoor CBRS Nodes in Commercial Buildings, 2018-2023
  • Figure 11: Indoor Residential CBRS Nodes, 2018-2023
  • Figure 12: Total CBRS Nodes Deployed by Type, 2018-2023
  • Figure 13: Total CBRS Nodes Deployed by Type, 2018-2023 (percent)

For additional information on the U.S. 3.5 GHz CBRS Forecast: The shared spectrum solution is finally here market study, please contact Iain Gillott, at (512) 263-5682 or by email.