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Wireless & Mobile Landscape

Asia Pacific Mobile Network Infrastructure Spending Forecast, 2018-2028: The long migration to 5G

4G LTE is well established in the Asia Pacific region (which includes China, South Korea and Japan) and the region is pushing hard to trial and deploy 5G. Several countries have conducted spectrum auctions with more to come. Many 5G networks are being trialed and commercial deployments are expected over the next few years. Given the size of the region and the large populations, the amount of LTE and 5G infrastructure required to provide reliable service is immense.

This market study presents a forecast for the cost of building, deploying and operating LTE and 5G networks in Asia Pacific beginning in 2018 and continuing through 2028. Included is a mobile network infrastructure build forecast, which is further detailed by mobile network component (RAN, front/backhaul, and core) and generation (LTE and 5G). The study also includes a forecast of network operating costs. In addition to the forecasts, the market study provides detailed information on evolving mobile network architectures, 5G networks, and how the Asia Pacific mobile industry is deploying 5G.


Key Questions Answered

  • How will the amount of data traffic carried on LTE and 5G networks grow in Asia Pacific in the next ten years?
  • How big is the LTE and 5G infrastructure opportunity in Asia Pacific in the next ten years?
  • How fast will 5G network spending grow in the next ten years in Asia Pacific?
  • What is the share of infrastructure spending for the network components of RAN, fronthaul/backhaul, and core in the next ten years?
  • What is the share of infrastructure spending for LTE and 5G in the next ten years?
  • What are the expected mobile network operating costs in the next ten years?
  • What are the various 3GPP standards leading up to 5G and what are they likely to contain?
  • What is 5G? How is it defined and/or viewed right now? What are the key capabilities for 5G networks?
  • What are some of the goals and use cases for 5G?
  • How will Asia Pacific mobile operators migrate from their 4G LTE networks of today to tomorrow’s 5G networks?
  • What have Asia Pacific mobile operators done to trial and prepare for 5G? When did they launch/will they launch their initial 5G networks?
  • What is Non-standalone New Radio (NSA-NR)? How do MIMO and beam steering impact 5G networks?

Who Should Read

  • Mobile operators
  • Infrastructure OEMs
  • Small cell product and solution vendors
  • Edge computing solution providers
  • Backhaul service providers and equipment OEMs
  • Financial analysts and investors.

Table of Contents

  • Abstract
  • Executive Summary
    • What This Means
  • Methodology
    • Network Model
    • Current Model Assumptions
    • 5G Model Assumptions
    • Variance from mobile operator financial disclosures
  • What is 5G?
    • 5G Use Cases
    • URLLC
    • Massive IoT
    • 5G Services and Use Cases
  • Current status of 3GPP 5G standards
  • 5G Network Needs
    • Spectrum Needs
    • Challenges Along the Road to 5G
    • What will the first 5G networks look like?
    • MIMO & Beamforming
    • MU-MIMO
    • Massive MIMO and mmWave
    • Beamforming
  • What Asia Pacific Mobile Operators Are Doing to Prepare for 5G
    • Australia
      • Spectrum and Government Initiatives
      • Optus
      • Telstra
    • China
      • Spectrum and Government Initiatives
      • China Mobile
      • China Telecom
      • China Unicom
    • India
      • Spectrum and Government Initiatives
      • Bharti Airtel
      • Reliance Jio
      • Vodafone Idea
    • Indonesia
      • Spectrum and Government Initiatives
      • Telkomsel and XL
    • Japan
      • Spectrum and Government Initiatives
      • KDDI
      • NTT DoCoMo
      • Softbank
      • Rakuten
    • New Zealand
      • Spectrum and Government Initiatives
      • Singapore
      • Spectrum and Government Initiatives
      • Singtel
      • M1
      • StarHub
    • South Korea
      • Spectrum and Government Initiatives
      • KT
      • LG U+
      • SK Telecom
    • Taiwan
      • Spectrum and Government Initiatives
      • APT
      • Chunghwa Telecom
  • Asia Pacific Mobile Connections and Data Traffic Forecast
    • Asia Pacific Mobile Connections Forecast
    • Asia Pacific Mobile Data Traffic Forecast
  • Asia Pacific Infrastructure Build Cost Forecast
    • Methodology and Assumptions
    • Asia Pacific Mobile Infrastructure Build Spending by Network Component
    • Asia Pacific Mobile Infrastructure Build Spending by Generation
  • Asia Pacific Mobile Network Operating Cost Forecast
  • Asia Pacific Total Mobile Network Cost Forecast
  • Definitions
  • About iGR
    • Disclaimer

List of Tables

  • Table 1: Forecasted Asia Pacific Mobile Connections, 2018-2028 (Millions)
  • Table 2: Assumed Total Asia Pacific Network Usage, 2018-2028 (EB/year)
  • Table 3a: Asia Pacific Mobile Network Infrastructure Build Spending, 2018-2023 ($M)
  • Table 3b: Asia Pacific Mobile Network Infrastructure Build Spending, 2024-2028 ($M)
  • Table 4a: Asia Pacific Mobile Network Infrastructure Build Spending, 2018-2023 (percent)
  • Table 4b: Asia Pacific Mobile Network Infrastructure Build Spending, 2024-2028 (percent)
  • Table 5a: Asia Pacific Mobile Data Traffic by Generation, 2018-2023 (percent)
  • Table 5b: Asia Pacific Mobile Data Traffic by Generation, 2024-2028 (percent)
  • Table 6a: Asia Pacific Mobile Network Infrastructure Build Spending by Generation, 2018-2023 ($M)
  • Table 6b: Asia Pacific Mobile Network Infrastructure Build Spending by Generation, 2024-2028 ($M)
  • Table 7a: Asia Pacific Mobile Network Operating Costs, 2018-2023 ($M)
  • Table 7b: Asia Pacific Mobile Network Operating Costs, 2024-2028 ($M)
  • Table 8a: Total Asia Pacific Mobile Network Build and Operating Spending, 2018-2023 ($M)
  • Table 8b: Total Asia Pacific Mobile Network Build and Operating Spending, 2024-2028 ($M)
  • Definitions Table

List of Charts and Figures

  • Figure A: Asia Pacific Mobile Network Infrastructure Build Spending, 2018-2028 ($M)
  • Figure B: Asia Pacific Mobile Network Operating Costs, 2018-2028 ($M)
  • Figure C: Total Asia Pacific Mobile Network Build and Operating Spending, 2018-2028 ($M, Total
  • Figure 1: 5G fundamental capabilities
  • Figure 2: 5G main applications and services
  • Figure 3: Timeline of 3GPP Releases
  • Figure 4: Beamforming and MIMO
  • Figure 5: 2x2 MIMO
  • Figure 6: Conceptual view of MU-MIMO
  • Figure 7: Another take on MU-MIMO
  • Figure 8: Analog and Digital Beamforming for mmWave
  • Figure 9: Prototype Massive MIMO Antenna, Lund University
  • Figure 10: Other Massive MIMO Antenna Designs
  • Figure 11: Massive MIMO Antenna Designs / Systems
  • Figure 12: Conceptual view of Analog and Digital Beamforming
  • Figure 13: Inter-relation of Beamforming and MIMO
  • Figure 14: Forecasted Asia Pacific Mobile Connections, 2018-2028 (Millions)
  • Figure 15: Assumed Total Asia Pacific Network Usage, 2018-2028 (EB/year)
  • Figure 16: Asia Pacific Total Mobile Network Infrastructure Build Spending, 2018-2028 ($M)
  • Figure 17: Asia Pacific Mobile Network Infrastructure Build Spending by Component, 2018-2028 ($M)
  • Figure 18: Asia Pacific Mobile Network Infrastructure Build Spending by Component, 2018-2028 (percent)
  • Figure 19: Asia Pacific Mobile Data Traffic by Generation, 2018-2028 (percent)
  • Figure 20: Asia Pacific Mobile Network Infrastructure Build Spending by Generation, 2018-2028 ($M)
  • Figure 21: Asia Pacific Mobile Network Infrastructure Build Spending by Generation, 2018-2028 (percent)
  • Figure 22: Asia Pacific Mobile Network Operating Costs, 2018-2028 ($M)
  • Figure 23: Total Asia Pacific Mobile Network Build and Operating Spending, 2018-2028 ($M, Total)
  • Figure 24: Total Asia Pacific Mobile Network Build and Operating Spending, 2018-2028 (percent)

For additional information on the Asia Pacific Mobile Network Infrastructure Spending Forecast, 2018-2028: The long migration to 5G market study, please contact Iain Gillott, at (512) 263-5682 or by email.