5G

Global 5G: Connections and Bandwidth Model 2021-2026

In this market study, iGR presents a model for the global development of 5G markets from 2021 to 2026, including the number of 5G connections and the amount of data used on 5G networks.

For the purposes of this report, ‘5G’ is defined as networks using IMT-2020. The first networks are not expected to be deployed before 2020, with the first commercial services launched in 2021.

Put simply, the first 5G services are likely to include some or all of the following:

  • High bandwidth services for mobile devices, including support for HD video.
  • Support for fixed wireless video and Internet services, including HD video.
  • Some type of “evolved” IoT use case that goes beyond today’s examples of metering, connected cars and homes, and B2B applications that connect stoves and vending machines to their owners’ back-end systems – and many other examples.
  • Wide-support for advertising-driven business models to support new mobile business cases.
  • Support for network ‘slicing’ enabling mobile operators to provide private network services to third party organizations.

iGR’s 5G model is based on the anticipated population of each region of the world and the associated number of mobile device connections. From this, a model is prepared showing the anticipated growth of 5G in each region (North America, Latin America, Europe, Middle East & Africa, Asia Pacific and Japan) and the associated bandwidth used by those 5G connections.


Key Questions Answered

  • What is 5G? How is it defined and/or viewed right now?
  • What is in 5G? When will 5G happen?
  • What is the anticipated timing of 5G services based on the IMT-2020 standard?
  • What are the characteristics of the core 5G services?
  • How many total mobile connections can be expected in each region of the world from 2021 to 2026?
  • How many of these mobile connections does the model expect to be using 5G (IMT-2020) from 2021 to 2026 in each region of the world?
  • What are the main assumptions for the 5G model in each region of the world?
  • What is the expected demand for bandwidth from each 5G connection in each region of the world?
  • What is the total expected demand for 5G bandwidth in each region of the world?
  • How are the number of 5G connections and demand for 5G bandwidth expected to increase in each region from 2021 to 2026?

Who Should Read

  • Mobile operators
  • Mobile device OEMs
  • Mobile service and application developers
  • IoT vendors and solutions providers
  • Infrastructure OEMs
  • Small cell product and solution vendors
  • Backhaul service providers and equipment OEMs
  • Financial analysts and investors.

Table of Contents

  • Abstract
  • Executive Summary
    • Defining 5G
    • 5G Use Cases
    • 5G Model Assumptions
    • Worldwide connections
    • 5G IMT-2020 Connections
    • Worldwide mobile data traffic
  • Methodology
    • Terminology
    • Global regions
    • Developed Markets
    • Developing Markets
    • Connections, not Subscribers
    • Quartiles
  • Potential Requirements of 5G
  • 5G Timeline
  • 5G Services and Use Cases
  • 5G Connections and Mobile Data Model Assumptions
    • Overall assumptions
    • Mobile data traffic model assumptions
    • North American assumptions
    • Latin American assumptions
    • European assumptions
    • Middle East and Africa assumptions
    • Asia Pacific assumptions
    • Japan assumptions
  • Worldwide 5G Overview
    • Worldwide connections
    • Worldwide connections by technology
    • 5G IMT-2020 Connections
    • Worldwide mobile data traffic
  • North America 5G Model
  • Latin America and Caribbean 5G Model
  • Europe 5G Model
  • Middle East and Africa 5G Model
  • Asia-Pacific 5G Model
  • Japan 5G Model
  • Definitions
    • General
    • Device Types
    • Services
    • Network Technology
  • About iGR
    • Disclaimer

List of Tables

  • Table 1: Share of Connections by Region, 2021-2026 (percent)
  • Table 2: Worldwide Connections by Technology Generation, 2021-2026 (000)
  • Table 3: Share of Connections by Region, 2021-2026 (percent)
  • Table 4: Worldwide Connections by Technology, 2021-2026 (000)
  • Table 5: IMT-2020 5G Connections by Region, 2021-2026 (000s)
  • Table 6: Share of IMT-2020 5G Connections by Region, 2021-2026 (percent)
  • Table 7: Total global mobile data traffic (TB) per month by region, 2021-2026
  • Table 8: Total global mobile data traffic by region, 2021-2026 (percent)
  • Table 9: Total global mobile data traffic by quartile, 2021-2026 (percent)
  • Table 10: Average Mobile Data Consumption per Connection Region (MB/month), 2021-2026
  • Table 11: North America Connections, Population, and Penetration, 2021-2026 (000s)
  • Table 12: North America Connections by Technology Generation, 2021-2026 (000)
  • Table 13: North America Connections by Technology, 2021-2026 (000)
  • Table 14: Per-Connection Mobile Data Use (MB/month) in North America, 2021-2026
  • Table 15: Total Mobile Data Traffic (TB/month) in North America, 2021-2026
  • Table 16: Percentage of Mobile Data Traffic by Quartile in North America, 2021-2026
  • Table 17: Latin America Connections, Population, and Penetration, 2021-2026
  • Table 18: Latin America Connections by Technology Generation, 2021-2026 (000)
  • Table 19: Latin America Connections by Technology, 2021-2026 (000)
  • Table 20: Per-Connection Mobile Data Use (MB/month) in Latin America, 2021-2026
  • Table 21: Total Mobile Data Traffic (TB/month) in Latin America, 2021-2026
  • Table 22: Percentage of Mobile Data Traffic by Quartile in Latin America, 2021-2026
  • Table 23: Europe Connections, Population, and Penetration, 2021-2026
  • Table 24: Europe Connections by Technology Generation, 2021-2026 (000)
  • Table 25: Europe Connections by Technology, 2021-2026 (000)
  • Table 26: Per-Connection Mobile Data Use (MB/month) in Europe, 2021-2026
  • Table 27: Total Mobile Data Traffic (TB/month) in Europe, 2021-2026
  • Table 28: Percentage of Mobile Data Traffic by Quartile in Europe, 2021-2026
  • Table 29: Middle East and Africa Connections, Population, and Penetration, 2021-2026
  • Table 30: Middle East and Africa Connections by Technology Generation, 2021-2026 (000)
  • Table 31: Middle East and Africa Connections by Technology, 2021-2026 (000)
  • Table 32: Per-Connection Mobile Data Use (MB/month) in MEA, 2021-2026
  • Table 33: Total Mobile Data Traffic (TB/month) in MEA, 2021-2026
  • Table 34: Percentage of Mobile Data Traffic by Quartile in MEA, 2021-2026
  • Table 35: Asia-Pacific Connections, Population, and Penetration, 2021-2026
  • Table 36: Asia-Pacific Connections by Technology Generation 2021-2026 (000)
  • Table 37: Asia-Pacific Connections by Technology, 2021-2026 (000)
  • Table 38: Per-Connection Mobile Data Use (MB/month) in Asia-Pacific, 2021-2026
  • Table 39: Total Mobile Data Traffic (TB/month) in Asia-Pacific, 2021-2026
  • Table 40: Percentage of Mobile Data Traffic by Quartile in Asia-Pacific, 2021-2026
  • Table 41: Japan Connections, Population, and Penetration, 2021-2026
  • Table 42: Japan Connections by Technology Generation, 2021-2026 (000)
  • Table 43: Japan Connections by Technology, 2021-2026 (000)
  • Table 44: Per-Connection Mobile Data Use (MB/month) in Japan, 2021-2026
  • Table 45: Total Mobile Data Traffic (TB/month) in Japan, 2021-2026
  • Table 46: Percentage of Mobile Data Traffic by Quartile in Japan, 2021-2026

List of Charts and Figures

  • Figure A: Connections by Region, 2021-2026 (000)
  • Figure B: IMT-2020 5G Connections by Region, 2021-2026 (000s)
  • Figure C: Total global mobile data traffic (TB) per month by region, 2021-2026
  • Figure D: Average Mobile Data Consumption per Connection per Region (MB/month), 2021-2026
  • Figure 1: Average Wired Broadband Latency, Reported by FCC in 2014
  • Figure 2: Timeline for IMT-2020 (5G)
  • Figure 3: Connections by Region, 2021-2026 (000)
  • Figure 4: Share of Connections by Region, 2021-2026 (percent)
  • Figure 5: Worldwide Connections by Technology Generation, 2021-2026 (000)
  • Figure 6: Share of Connections by Region, 2021-2026 (percent)
  • Figure 7: Worldwide Connections by Technology, 2021-2026 (000)
  • Figure 8: IMT-2020 5G Connections by Region, 2021-2026 (000s)
  • Figure 9: Share of IMT-2020 5G Connections by Region, 2021-2026 (percent)
  • Figure 10: Total global mobile data traffic (TB) per month by region, 2021-2026
  • Figure 11: Total global mobile data traffic by region, 2021-2026 (percent)
  • Figure 12: Total global mobile data traffic by quartile, 2021-2026 (percent)
  • Figure 13: Average Mobile Data Consumption per Connection per Region (MB/month), 2021-2026
  • Figure 14: North America Connections and Population, 2021-2026 (000)
  • Figure 15: North America Connections by Technology Generation, 2021-2026 (000)
  • Figure 16: North America Connections by Technology, 2021-2026 (000)
  • Figure 17: Per-Connection Mobile Data Use (MB/month) in North America, 2021-2026
  • Figure 18: Total Mobile Data Traffic (TB/month) in North America, 2021-2026
  • Figure 19: Percentage of Mobile Data Traffic by Quartile in North America, 2021-2026
  • Figure 20: Latin America Connections and Population, 2021-2026 (000)
  • Figure 21: Latin America Connections by Technology Generation, 2021-2026 (000)
  • Figure 22: Latin America Connections by Technology, 2021-2026 (000)
  • Figure 23: Per-Connection Mobile Data Use (MB/month) in Latin America, 2021-2026
  • Figure 24: Total Mobile Data Traffic (TB/month) in Latin America, 2021-2026
  • Figure 25: Percentage of Mobile Data Traffic by Quartile in Latin America, 2021-2026
  • Figure 26: Europe Connections and Population, 2021-2026 (000)
  • Figure 27: Europe Connections by Technology Generation, 2021-2026 (000)
  • Figure 28: Europe Connections by Technology, 2021-2026 (000)
  • Figure 29: Per-Connection Mobile Data Use (MB/month) in Europe, 2021-2026
  • Figure 30: Total Mobile Data Traffic (TB/month) in Europe, 2021-2026
  • Figure 31: Percentage of Mobile Data Traffic by Quartile in Europe, 2021-2026
  • Figure 32: Middle East and Africa Connections and Population, 2021-2026 (000)
  • Figure 33: Middle East and Africa Connections by Technology Generation, 2021-2026 (000)
  • Figure 34: Middle East and Africa Connections by Technology, 2021-2026 (000)
  • Figure 35: Per-Connection Mobile Data Use (MB/month) in MEA, 2021-2026
  • Figure 36: Total Mobile Data Traffic (TB/month) in MEA, 2021-2026
  • Figure 37: Percentage of Mobile Data Traffic by Quartile in MEA, 2021-2026
  • Figure 38: Asia-Pacific Connections and Population, 2021-2026 (000)
  • Figure 39: Asia-Pacific Connections by Technology Generation, 2021-2026 (000)
  • Figure 40: Asia-Pacific Connections by Technology, 2021-2026 (000)
  • Figure 41: Per-Connection Mobile Data Use (MB/month) in Asia-Pacific, 2021-2026
  • Figure 42: Total Mobile Data Traffic (TB/month) in Asia-Pacific, 2021-2026
  • Figure 43: Percentage of Mobile Data Traffic by Quartile in Asia-Pacific, 2021-2026
  • Figure 44: Japan Connections and Population, 2021-2026 (000)
  • Figure 45: Japan Connections by Technology Generation, 2021-2026 (000)
  • Figure 46: Japan Connections by Technology, 2021-2026 (000)
  • Figure 47: Per-Connection Mobile Data Use (MB/month) in Japan, 2021-2026
  • Figure 48: Total Mobile Data Traffic (TB/month) in Japan, 2021-2026
  • Figure 49: Percentage of Mobile Data Traffic by Quartile in Japan, 2021-2026

For additional information on the Global 5G: Connections and Bandwidth Model 2021-2026 market study, please contact Iain Gillott, at (512) 263-5682 or by email.